Astros @ Padres
Astros
PadresArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Padres beat the Astros 7-2 at home. The market closed with Astros at +105 on the moneyline and the total at 9. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Astros betting trends · Padres betting trends · all MLB games
Astros vs Padres betting splits
Where was the money on Astros vs Padres?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Astros | 36% | 20% | -1.5 (+157) |
| Padres | 64% | 80% | -4.5 (-1000) | |
| Total | Over | 18% | 19% | O 9 (-111) |
| Under | 82% | 81% | U 9 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Astros | 44% | 40% | +105 |
| Padres | 56% | 60% | -115 |
64% of spread tickets and 80% of spread money were on the Padres, so the average Padres bet was larger than the average Astros bet.
82% of total tickets and 81% of total money were on the under, so the under drew more tickets than money and the average over bet was larger.
56% of moneyline tickets and 60% of moneyline money were on the Padres, so the average Padres bet was larger than the average Astros bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Astros vs Padres?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Padres) | -1.5 | -4.5 | -3 |
| Total | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
The Padres opened -1.5 and closed -4.5, a 3-point move toward the Padres.
The total opened 8.5 and closed 9, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Astros vs Padres line move?
The spread moved 3 points toward the Padres (Padres -1.5 to Padres -4.5), the side holding 80% of the spread money and 64% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (8.5 to 9) even though 81% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 19% of the money and 18% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.