Nationals @ Marlins
Nationals
MarlinsArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Marlins beat the Nationals 3-2 at home. The market closed with Nationals at +132 on the moneyline and the total at 7.5. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Nationals betting trends · Marlins betting trends · all MLB games
Nationals vs Marlins betting splits
Where was the money on Nationals vs Marlins?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Nationals | 17% | 21% | +1.5 (-170) |
| Marlins | 83% | 79% | -1.5 (+140) | |
| Total | Over | 40% | 79% | O 7.5 (-117) |
| Under | 60% | 21% | U 7.5 (-101) | |
| Moneyline | Nationals | 28% | 36% | +132 |
| Marlins | 72% | 64% | -150 |
83% of spread tickets and 79% of spread money were on the Marlins, so the Marlins drew more tickets than money and the average Nationals bet was larger.
The under held 60% of total tickets but only 21% of the money; 79% of total money was on the over with 40% of tickets, so the average over bet was larger.
72% of moneyline tickets and 64% of moneyline money were on the Marlins, so the Marlins drew more tickets than money and the average Nationals bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Nationals vs Marlins?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Marlins) | -1.5 | -1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 8.5 | 7.5 | -1 |
The Marlins opened -1.5 and closed -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 8.5 and closed 7.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Nationals vs Marlins line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Marlins -1.5) even with 79% of the spread money on the Marlins. The total moved 1 point toward the under (8.5 to 7.5) even though 79% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 21% of the money and 60% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.