Red Sox @ Marlins
Red Sox
MarlinsArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Red Sox beat the Marlins 4-2 on the road. The market closed with Red Sox at -123 on the moneyline and the total at 7. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Red Sox betting trends · Marlins betting trends · all MLB games
Red Sox vs Marlins betting splits
Where was the money on Red Sox vs Marlins?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Red Sox | 60% | 46% | -1.5 (+137) |
| Marlins | 40% | 54% | +1.5 (-161) | |
| Total | Over | 70% | 74% | O 7 (-120) |
| Under | 30% | 26% | U 7 (-100) | |
| Moneyline | Red Sox | 75% | 81% | -123 |
| Marlins | 25% | 19% | +113 |
The Red Sox held 60% of spread tickets but only 46% of the money; 54% of spread money was on the Marlins with 40% of tickets, so the average Marlins bet was larger.
70% of total tickets and 74% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
75% of moneyline tickets and 81% of moneyline money were on the Red Sox, so the average Red Sox bet was larger than the average Marlins bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Red Sox vs Marlins?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Marlins) | +1.5 | +1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
The Red Sox opened -1.5 and closed -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 7.5 and closed 7, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Red Sox vs Marlins line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Marlins +1.5) even with 54% of the spread money on the Marlins. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (7.5 to 7) even though 74% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 26% of the money and 30% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.