Pirates @ Padres
Pirates
PadresArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Pirates beat the Padres 3-2 on the road. The market closed with Pirates at +103 on the moneyline and the total at 7.5. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Pirates betting trends · Padres betting trends · all MLB games
Pirates vs Padres betting splits
Where was the money on Pirates vs Padres?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pirates | 41% | 34% | -1.5 (+371) |
| Padres | 59% | 66% | +1.5 (-198) | |
| Total | Over | 72% | 73% | O 7.5 (-102) |
| Under | 28% | 27% | U 7.5 (-116) | |
| Moneyline | Pirates | 28% | 30% | +103 |
| Padres | 72% | 70% | -112 |
59% of spread tickets and 66% of spread money were on the Padres, so the average Padres bet was larger than the average Pirates bet.
72% of total tickets and 73% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
72% of moneyline tickets and 70% of moneyline money were on the Padres, so the Padres drew more tickets than money and the average Pirates bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Pirates vs Padres?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Padres) | -1.5 | +1.5 | +3 |
| Total | 7.5 | 7.5 | 0 |
The Padres opened -1.5 and closed +1.5, a 3-point move toward the Pirates.
The total opened 7.5 and closed 7.5: it has not moved.
Why the line moved
Why did the Pirates vs Padres line move?
The spread moved 3 points toward the Pirates (Padres -1.5 to Padres +1.5) even though 66% of the spread money sits on the Padres; the Pirates hold 34% of the money and 41% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total did not move from its opening number (7.5) even with 73% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.