Buffalo @ Minnesota
MinnesotaArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Minnesota beat the Buffalo 23-10 at home. The market closed with Buffalo at +575 on the moneyline and the total at 42.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Buffalo betting trends · Minnesota betting trends · all College Football games
Buffalo vs Minnesota betting splits
Where was the money on Buffalo vs Minnesota?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Buffalo | 84% | 83% | +16.5 (-112) |
| Minnesota | 16% | 17% | -16.5 (-108) | |
| Total | Over | 93% | 73% | O 42.5 (-110) |
| Under | 7% | 27% | U 42.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Buffalo | 6% | 14% | +575 |
| Minnesota | 94% | 86% | -800 |
84% of spread tickets and 83% of spread money were on the Buffalo, so the Buffalo drew more tickets than money and the average Minnesota bet was larger.
93% of total tickets and 73% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
94% of moneyline tickets and 86% of moneyline money were on the Minnesota, so the Minnesota drew more tickets than money and the average Buffalo bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Buffalo vs Minnesota?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Minnesota) | -17.5 | -16.5 | +1 |
| Total | 45.5 | 42.5 | -3 |
The Minnesota opened -17.5 and closed -16.5, a 1-point move toward the Buffalo.
The total opened 45.5 and closed 42.5, a 3-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Buffalo vs Minnesota line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Buffalo (Minnesota -17.5 to Minnesota -16.5), the side holding 83% of the spread money and 84% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 3 points toward the under (45.5 to 42.5) even though 73% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 27% of the money and 7% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.