Boise State @ S. Florida
S. FloridaArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: S. Florida beat the Boise State 34-7 at home. The market closed with Boise State at -200 on the moneyline and the total at 61.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Boise State betting trends · S. Florida betting trends · all College Football games
Boise State vs S. Florida betting splits
Where was the money on Boise State vs S. Florida?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Boise State | 58% | 58% | -4.5 (-110) |
| S. Florida | 42% | 42% | +4.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 29% | 35% | O 61.5 (-108) |
| Under | 71% | 65% | U 61.5 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Boise State | 88% | 82% | -200 |
| S. Florida | 12% | 18% | +168 |
58% of spread tickets and 58% of spread money were on the Boise State, with money and tickets in step.
71% of total tickets and 65% of total money were on the under, so the under drew more tickets than money and the average over bet was larger.
88% of moneyline tickets and 82% of moneyline money were on the Boise State, so the Boise State drew more tickets than money and the average S. Florida bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Boise State vs S. Florida?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (S. Florida) | +9.5 | +4.5 | -5 |
| Total | 63.5 | 61.5 | -2 |
The Boise State opened -9.5 and closed -4.5, a 5-point move toward the S. Florida.
The total opened 63.5 and closed 61.5, a 2-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Boise State vs S. Florida line move?
The spread moved 5 points toward the S. Florida (S. Florida +9.5 to S. Florida +4.5) even though 58% of the spread money sits on the Boise State; the S. Florida hold 42% of the money and 42% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 2 points toward the under (63.5 to 61.5), the side holding 65% of the total money and 71% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.