Jax State @ UCF
UCFArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: UCF beat the Jax State 17-10 at home. The market closed with Jax State at +750 on the moneyline and the total at 52.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Jax State betting trends · UCF betting trends · all College Football games
Jax State vs UCF betting splits
Where was the money on Jax State vs UCF?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jax State | 81% | 60% | +20.5 (-110) |
| UCF | 19% | 40% | -20.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 85% | 88% | O 52.5 (-115) |
| Under | 15% | 12% | U 52.5 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Jax State | 5% | 3% | +750 |
| UCF | 95% | 97% | -1100 |
81% of spread tickets and 60% of spread money were on the Jax State, so the Jax State drew more tickets than money and the average UCF bet was larger.
85% of total tickets and 88% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
95% of moneyline tickets and 97% of moneyline money were on the UCF, so the average UCF bet was larger than the average Jax State bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Jax State vs UCF?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (UCF) | -16.5 | -20.5 | -4 |
| Total | 56.5 | 52.5 | -4 |
The UCF opened -16.5 and closed -20.5, a 4-point move toward the UCF.
The total opened 56.5 and closed 52.5, a 4-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Jax State vs UCF line move?
The spread moved 4 points toward the UCF (UCF -16.5 to UCF -20.5) even though 60% of the spread money sits on the Jax State; the UCF hold 40% of the money and 19% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 4 points toward the under (56.5 to 52.5) even though 88% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 12% of the money and 15% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.