Tarleton @ Army
Army Archived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Tarleton beat the Army 30-27 on the road. The market closed with Tarleton at +440 on the moneyline and the total at 47.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Tarleton betting trends · Army betting trends · all College Football games
Tarleton vs Army betting splits
Where was the money on Tarleton vs Army?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Tarleton | 28% | 33% | +14 (-110) |
| Army | 72% | 67% | -14 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 31% | 20% | O 47.5 (-105) |
| Under | 69% | 80% | U 47.5 (-115) | |
| Moneyline | Tarleton | 5% | 6% | +440 |
| Army | 95% | 94% | -600 |
72% of spread tickets and 67% of spread money were on the Army, so the Army drew more tickets than money and the average Tarleton bet was larger.
69% of total tickets and 80% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
95% of moneyline tickets and 94% of moneyline money were on the Army, so the Army drew more tickets than money and the average Tarleton bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Tarleton vs Army?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Army) | -18.5 | -14 | +4.5 |
| Total | 52.5 | 47.5 | -5 |
The Army opened -18.5 and closed -14, a 4.5-point move toward the Tarleton.
The total opened 52.5 and closed 47.5, a 5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Tarleton vs Army line move?
The spread moved 4.5 points toward the Tarleton (Army -18.5 to Army -14) even though 67% of the spread money sits on the Army; the Tarleton hold 33% of the money and 28% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 5 points toward the under (52.5 to 47.5), the side holding 80% of the total money and 69% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.