Nevada @ Penn State
Nevada
Penn StateArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Penn State beat the Nevada 46-11 at home. This was an NFL 2025 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Nevada betting trends · Penn State betting trends · all College Football games
Nevada vs Penn State betting splits
Where was the money on Nevada vs Penn State?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Nevada | 59% | 38% | +42.5 (-110) |
| Penn State | 41% | 62% | -42.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 28% | 50% | O 54.5 (-115) |
| Under | 72% | 50% | U 54.5 (-105) |
The Nevada held 59% of spread tickets but only 38% of the money; 62% of spread money was on the Penn State with 41% of tickets, so the average Penn State bet was larger.
Total money was split evenly at 50% a side (tickets 28% Over, 72% Under).
Line movement
What was the closing line for Nevada vs Penn State?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Penn State) | -45.5 | -42.5 | +3 |
| Total | 59.5 | 54.5 | -5 |
The Penn State opened -45.5 and closed -42.5, a 3-point move toward the Nevada.
The total opened 59.5 and closed 54.5, a 5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Nevada vs Penn State line move?
The spread moved 3 points toward the Nevada (Penn State -45.5 to Penn State -42.5) even though 62% of the spread money sits on the Penn State; the Nevada hold 38% of the money and 59% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 5 points toward the under (59.5 to 54.5); total money is split evenly, so the move did not follow either side's money. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.