Missouri St @ USC
Missouri St
USCArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: USC beat the Missouri St 73-13 at home. The market closed with Missouri St at +2500 on the moneyline and the total at 60. This was an NFL 2025 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Missouri St betting trends · USC betting trends · all College Football games
Missouri St vs USC betting splits
Where was the money on Missouri St vs USC?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Missouri St | 45% | 15% | +36.5 (-115) |
| USC | 55% | 85% | -36.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 16% | 47% | O 60 (-110) |
| Under | 84% | 53% | U 60 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Missouri St | 2% | 3% | +2500 |
| USC | 98% | 97% | -9000 |
55% of spread tickets and 85% of spread money were on the USC, so the average USC bet was larger than the average Missouri St bet.
84% of total tickets and 53% of total money were on the under, so the under drew more tickets than money and the average over bet was larger.
98% of moneyline tickets and 97% of moneyline money were on the USC, so the USC drew more tickets than money and the average Missouri St bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Missouri St vs USC?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (USC) | -32.5 | -36.5 | -4 |
| Total | 59.5 | 60 | +0.5 |
The USC opened -32.5 and closed -36.5, a 4-point move toward the USC.
The total opened 59.5 and closed 60, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Missouri St vs USC line move?
The spread moved 4 points toward the USC (USC -32.5 to USC -36.5), the side holding 85% of the spread money and 55% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (59.5 to 60) even though 53% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 47% of the money and 16% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.