Toledo @ Kentucky
Toledo
KentuckyArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Kentucky beat the Toledo 24-16 at home. The market closed with Toledo at +280 on the moneyline and the total at 48.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Toledo betting trends · Kentucky betting trends · all College Football games
Toledo vs Kentucky betting splits
Where was the money on Toledo vs Kentucky?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Toledo | 39% | 51% | +10 (-110) |
| Kentucky | 61% | 49% | -10 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 20% | 59% | O 48.5 (-115) |
| Under | 80% | 41% | U 48.5 (-120) | |
| Moneyline | Toledo | 4% | 12% | +280 |
| Kentucky | 96% | 88% | -365 |
The Kentucky held 61% of spread tickets but only 49% of the money; 51% of spread money was on the Toledo with 39% of tickets, so the average Toledo bet was larger.
The under held 80% of total tickets but only 41% of the money; 59% of total money was on the over with 20% of tickets, so the average over bet was larger.
96% of moneyline tickets and 88% of moneyline money were on the Kentucky, so the Kentucky drew more tickets than money and the average Toledo bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Toledo vs Kentucky?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Kentucky) | -10.5 | -10 | +0.5 |
| Total | 48.5 | 48.5 | 0 |
The Kentucky opened -10.5 and closed -10, a 0.5-point move toward the Toledo.
The total opened 48.5 and closed 48.5: it has not moved.
Why the line moved
Why did the Toledo vs Kentucky line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Toledo (Kentucky -10.5 to Kentucky -10), the side holding 51% of the spread money and 39% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total did not move from its opening number (48.5) even with 59% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.