Mississippi St @ Southern Miss
Mississippi St
Southern MissArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Mississippi St beat the Southern Miss 34-17 on the road. The market closed with Mississippi St at -550 on the moneyline and the total at 60.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Mississippi St betting trends · Southern Miss betting trends · all College Football games
Mississippi St vs Southern Miss betting splits
Where was the money on Mississippi St vs Southern Miss?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mississippi St | 58% | 50% | -14.5 (-108) |
| Southern Miss | 42% | 50% | +14.5 (-112) | |
| Total | Over | 18% | 39% | O 60.5 (-110) |
| Under | 82% | 61% | U 60.5 (-105) | |
| Moneyline | Mississippi St | 96% | 76% | -550 |
| Southern Miss | 4% | 24% | +430 |
Spread money was split evenly at 50% a side (tickets 58% Mississippi St, 42% Southern Miss).
82% of total tickets and 61% of total money were on the under, so the under drew more tickets than money and the average over bet was larger.
96% of moneyline tickets and 76% of moneyline money were on the Mississippi St, so the Mississippi St drew more tickets than money and the average Southern Miss bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Mississippi St vs Southern Miss?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Southern Miss) | +12.5 | +14.5 | +2 |
| Total | 57.5 | 60.5 | +3 |
The Mississippi St opened -12.5 and closed -14.5, a 2-point move toward the Mississippi St.
The total opened 57.5 and closed 60.5, a 3-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Mississippi St vs Southern Miss line move?
The spread moved 2 points toward the Mississippi St (Southern Miss +12.5 to Southern Miss +14.5); spread money is split evenly, so the move did not follow either side's money. The total moved 3 points toward the over (57.5 to 60.5) even though 61% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 39% of the money and 18% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.