Minnesota @ California
Minnesota
CaliforniaArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: California beat the Minnesota 27-14 at home. The market closed with Minnesota at -150 on the moneyline and the total at 41.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 3 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Minnesota betting trends · California betting trends · all College Football games
Minnesota vs California betting splits
Where was the money on Minnesota vs California?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Minnesota | 61% | 58% | -2.5 (-120) |
| California | 39% | 42% | +2.5 (-102) | |
| Total | Over | 49% | 18% | O 41.5 (-102) |
| Under | 51% | 82% | U 41.5 (-118) | |
| Moneyline | Minnesota | 73% | 67% | -150 |
| California | 27% | 33% | +124 |
61% of spread tickets and 58% of spread money were on the Minnesota, so the Minnesota drew more tickets than money and the average California bet was larger.
51% of total tickets and 82% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
73% of moneyline tickets and 67% of moneyline money were on the Minnesota, so the Minnesota drew more tickets than money and the average California bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Minnesota vs California?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (California) | +3.5 | +2.5 | -1 |
| Total | 50.5 | 41.5 | -9 |
The Minnesota opened -3.5 and closed -2.5, a 1-point move toward the California.
The total opened 50.5 and closed 41.5, a 9-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Minnesota vs California line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the California (California +3.5 to California +2.5) even though 58% of the spread money sits on the Minnesota; the California hold 42% of the money and 39% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 9 points toward the under (50.5 to 41.5), the side holding 82% of the total money and 51% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.