Michigan St @ USC
Michigan St
USCArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: USC beat the Michigan St 45-31 at home. The market closed with Michigan St at +625 on the moneyline and the total at 55.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 4 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Michigan St betting trends · USC betting trends · all College Football games
Michigan St vs USC betting splits
Where was the money on Michigan St vs USC?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Michigan St | 96% | 98% | +18.5 (-114) |
| USC | 4% | 2% | -18.5 (-106) | |
| Total | Over | 34% | 57% | O 55.5 (-110) |
| Under | 66% | 43% | U 55.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Michigan St | 3% | 25% | +625 |
| USC | 97% | 75% | -950 |
96% of spread tickets and 98% of spread money were on the Michigan St, so the average Michigan St bet was larger than the average USC bet.
The under held 66% of total tickets but only 43% of the money; 57% of total money was on the over with 34% of tickets, so the average over bet was larger.
97% of moneyline tickets and 75% of moneyline money were on the USC, so the USC drew more tickets than money and the average Michigan St bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Michigan St vs USC?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (USC) | -14.5 | -18.5 | -4 |
| Total | 56.5 | 55.5 | -1 |
The USC opened -14.5 and closed -18.5, a 4-point move toward the USC.
The total opened 56.5 and closed 55.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Michigan St vs USC line move?
The spread moved 4 points toward the USC (USC -14.5 to USC -18.5) even though 98% of the spread money sits on the Michigan St; the USC hold 2% of the money and 4% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 1 point toward the under (56.5 to 55.5) even though 57% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 43% of the money and 66% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.