N. Illinois @ Toledo
N. Illinois
ToledoArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Toledo beat the N. Illinois 42-3 at home. The market closed with N. Illinois at +482 on the moneyline and the total at 42.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 11 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: N. Illinois betting trends · Toledo betting trends · all College Football games
N. Illinois vs Toledo betting splits
Where was the money on N. Illinois vs Toledo?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | N. Illinois | 58% | 29% | +15 (-108) |
| Toledo | 42% | 71% | -15 (-112) | |
| Total | Over | 62% | 47% | O 42.5 (-107) |
| Under | 38% | 53% | U 42.5 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | N. Illinois | 9% | 82% | +482 |
| Toledo | 91% | 18% | -674 |
The N. Illinois held 58% of spread tickets but only 29% of the money; 71% of spread money was on the Toledo with 42% of tickets, so the average Toledo bet was larger.
The over held 62% of total tickets but only 47% of the money; 53% of total money was on the under with 38% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
The Toledo held 91% of moneyline tickets but only 18% of the money; 82% of moneyline money was on the N. Illinois with 9% of tickets, so the average N. Illinois bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for N. Illinois vs Toledo?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Toledo) | -13.5 | -15 | -1.5 |
| Total | 42.5 | 42.5 | 0 |
The Toledo opened -13.5 and closed -15, a 1.5-point move toward the Toledo.
The total opened 42.5 and closed 42.5: it has not moved.
Why the line moved
Why did the N. Illinois vs Toledo line move?
The spread moved 1.5 points toward the Toledo (Toledo -13.5 to Toledo -15), the side holding 71% of the spread money and 42% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total did not move from its opening number (42.5) even with 53% of the total money on the under. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.