Houston @ UCF
Houston
UCFArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Houston beat the UCF 30-27 on the road. The market closed with Houston at -105 on the moneyline and the total at 47.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 11 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Houston betting trends · UCF betting trends · all College Football games
Houston vs UCF betting splits
Where was the money on Houston vs UCF?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Houston | 46% | 57% | +1.5 (-113) |
| UCF | 54% | 43% | -1.5 (-106) | |
| Total | Over | 75% | 56% | O 47.5 (-110) |
| Under | 25% | 44% | U 47.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Houston | 72% | 65% | -105 |
| UCF | 28% | 35% | -115 |
The UCF held 54% of spread tickets but only 43% of the money; 57% of spread money was on the Houston with 46% of tickets, so the average Houston bet was larger.
75% of total tickets and 56% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
72% of moneyline tickets and 65% of moneyline money were on the Houston, so the Houston drew more tickets than money and the average UCF bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Houston vs UCF?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (UCF) | +2.5 | -1.5 | -4 |
| Total | 48.5 | 47.5 | -1 |
The Houston opened -2.5 and closed +1.5, a 4-point move toward the UCF.
The total opened 48.5 and closed 47.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Houston vs UCF line move?
The spread moved 4 points toward the UCF (UCF +2.5 to UCF -1.5) even though 57% of the spread money sits on the Houston; the UCF hold 43% of the money and 54% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 1 point toward the under (48.5 to 47.5) even though 56% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 44% of the money and 25% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.