California @ Louisville
California
LouisvilleArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: California beat the Louisville 29-26 on the road. The market closed with California at +700 on the moneyline and the total at 48.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 11 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: California betting trends · Louisville betting trends · all College Football games
California vs Louisville betting splits
Where was the money on California vs Louisville?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | California | 53% | 73% | +18.5 (-113) |
| Louisville | 47% | 27% | -18.5 (-106) | |
| Total | Over | 66% | 57% | O 48.5 (-115) |
| Under | 34% | 43% | U 48.5 (-105) | |
| Moneyline | California | 2% | 20% | +700 |
| Louisville | 98% | 80% | -1100 |
53% of spread tickets and 73% of spread money were on the California, so the average California bet was larger than the average Louisville bet.
66% of total tickets and 57% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
98% of moneyline tickets and 80% of moneyline money were on the Louisville, so the Louisville drew more tickets than money and the average California bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for California vs Louisville?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Louisville) | -18.5 | -18.5 | 0 |
| Total | 49.5 | 48.5 | -1 |
The Louisville opened -18.5 and closed -18.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 49.5 and closed 48.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the California vs Louisville line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Louisville -18.5) even with 73% of the spread money on the California. The total moved 1 point toward the under (49.5 to 48.5) even though 57% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 43% of the money and 34% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.