Florida @ Kentucky
Florida
KentuckyArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Kentucky beat the Florida 38-7 at home. The market closed with Florida at -217 on the moneyline and the total at 44.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 11 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Florida betting trends · Kentucky betting trends · all College Football games
Florida vs Kentucky betting splits
Where was the money on Florida vs Kentucky?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Florida | 38% | 75% | -4.5 (-115) |
| Kentucky | 62% | 25% | +4.5 (-105) | |
| Total | Over | 68% | 85% | O 44.5 (-115) |
| Under | 32% | 15% | U 44.5 (-105) | |
| Moneyline | Florida | 89% | 76% | -217 |
| Kentucky | 11% | 24% | +180 |
The Kentucky held 62% of spread tickets but only 25% of the money; 75% of spread money was on the Florida with 38% of tickets, so the average Florida bet was larger.
68% of total tickets and 85% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
89% of moneyline tickets and 76% of moneyline money were on the Florida, so the Florida drew more tickets than money and the average Kentucky bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Florida vs Kentucky?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Kentucky) | +4.5 | +4.5 | 0 |
| Total | 43.5 | 44.5 | +1 |
The Florida opened -4.5 and closed -4.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 43.5 and closed 44.5, a 1-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Florida vs Kentucky line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Kentucky +4.5) even with 75% of the spread money on the Florida. The total moved 1 point toward the over (43.5 to 44.5), the side holding 85% of the total money and 68% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.