Northwestern @ USC
USCArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: USC beat the Northwestern 38-17 at home. The market closed with Northwestern at +472 on the moneyline and the total at 54.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 11 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Northwestern betting trends · USC betting trends · all College Football games
Northwestern vs USC betting splits
Where was the money on Northwestern vs USC?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Northwestern | 48% | 57% | +14.5 (-112) |
| USC | 52% | 43% | -14.5 (-108) | |
| Total | Over | 64% | 88% | O 54.5 (-108) |
| Under | 36% | 12% | U 54.5 (-111) | |
| Moneyline | Northwestern | 4% | 35% | +472 |
| USC | 96% | 65% | -662 |
The USC held 52% of spread tickets but only 43% of the money; 57% of spread money was on the Northwestern with 48% of tickets, so the average Northwestern bet was larger.
64% of total tickets and 88% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
96% of moneyline tickets and 65% of moneyline money were on the USC, so the USC drew more tickets than money and the average Northwestern bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Northwestern vs USC?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (USC) | -16.5 | -14.5 | +2 |
| Total | 51.5 | 54.5 | +3 |
The USC opened -16.5 and closed -14.5, a 2-point move toward the Northwestern.
The total opened 51.5 and closed 54.5, a 3-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Northwestern vs USC line move?
The spread moved 2 points toward the Northwestern (USC -16.5 to USC -14.5), the side holding 57% of the spread money and 48% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 3 points toward the over (51.5 to 54.5), the side holding 88% of the total money and 64% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.