Buffalo @ C. Michigan
C. MichiganArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: C. Michigan beat the Buffalo 38-19 at home. The market closed with Buffalo at +115 on the moneyline and the total at 44.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 12 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Buffalo betting trends · C. Michigan betting trends · all College Football games
Buffalo vs C. Michigan betting splits
Where was the money on Buffalo vs C. Michigan?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Buffalo | 65% | 67% | +2.5 (-107) |
| C. Michigan | 35% | 33% | -2.5 (-113) | |
| Total | Over | 64% | 39% | O 44.5 (-115) |
| Under | 36% | 61% | U 44.5 (-105) | |
| Moneyline | Buffalo | 29% | 70% | +115 |
| C. Michigan | 71% | 30% | -135 |
65% of spread tickets and 67% of spread money were on the Buffalo, so the average Buffalo bet was larger than the average C. Michigan bet.
The over held 64% of total tickets but only 39% of the money; 61% of total money was on the under with 36% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
The C. Michigan held 71% of moneyline tickets but only 30% of the money; 70% of moneyline money was on the Buffalo with 29% of tickets, so the average Buffalo bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Buffalo vs C. Michigan?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (C. Michigan) | -2.5 | -2.5 | 0 |
| Total | 43.5 | 44.5 | +1 |
The C. Michigan opened -2.5 and closed -2.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 43.5 and closed 44.5, a 1-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Buffalo vs C. Michigan line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (C. Michigan -2.5) even with 67% of the spread money on the Buffalo. The total moved 1 point toward the over (43.5 to 44.5) even though 61% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 39% of the money and 64% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.