Duke @ Virginia
Duke
VirginiaArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Duke beat the Virginia 27-20 on the road. The market closed with Duke at +145 on the moneyline and the total at 58.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 15 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Duke betting trends · Virginia betting trends · all College Football games
Duke vs Virginia betting splits
Where was the money on Duke vs Virginia?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Duke | 46% | 59% | +3.5 (-111) |
| Virginia | 54% | 41% | -3.5 (-109) | |
| Total | Over | 47% | 56% | O 58.5 (-109) |
| Under | 53% | 44% | U 58.5 (-111) | |
| Moneyline | Duke | 18% | 15% | +145 |
| Virginia | 82% | 85% | -180 |
The Virginia held 54% of spread tickets but only 41% of the money; 59% of spread money was on the Duke with 46% of tickets, so the average Duke bet was larger.
The under held 53% of total tickets but only 44% of the money; 56% of total money was on the over with 47% of tickets, so the average over bet was larger.
82% of moneyline tickets and 85% of moneyline money were on the Virginia, so the average Virginia bet was larger than the average Duke bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Duke vs Virginia?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Virginia) | -2.5 | -3.5 | -1 |
| Total | 58 | 58.5 | +0.5 |
The Virginia opened -2.5 and closed -3.5, a 1-point move toward the Virginia.
The total opened 58 and closed 58.5, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Duke vs Virginia line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Virginia (Virginia -2.5 to Virginia -3.5) even though 59% of the spread money sits on the Duke; the Virginia hold 41% of the money and 54% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (58 to 58.5), the side holding 56% of the total money and 47% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.