USC @ TCU
USC
TCUArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: TCU beat the USC 30-27 at home. The market closed with USC at -196 on the moneyline and the total at 56.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 19 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: USC betting trends · TCU betting trends · all College Football games
USC vs TCU betting splits
Where was the money on USC vs TCU?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | USC | 59% | 42% | -4.5 (-115) |
| TCU | 41% | 58% | +4.5 (-105) | |
| Total | Over | 27% | 37% | O 56.5 (-108) |
| Under | 73% | 63% | U 56.5 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | USC | 90% | 78% | -196 |
| TCU | 10% | 22% | +165 |
The USC held 59% of spread tickets but only 42% of the money; 58% of spread money was on the TCU with 41% of tickets, so the average TCU bet was larger.
73% of total tickets and 63% of total money were on the under, so the under drew more tickets than money and the average over bet was larger.
90% of moneyline tickets and 78% of moneyline money were on the USC, so the USC drew more tickets than money and the average TCU bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for USC vs TCU?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (TCU) | +6.5 | +4.5 | -2 |
| Total | 58.5 | 56.5 | -2 |
The USC opened -6.5 and closed -4.5, a 2-point move toward the TCU.
The total opened 58.5 and closed 56.5, a 2-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the USC vs TCU line move?
The spread moved 2 points toward the TCU (TCU +6.5 to TCU +4.5), the side holding 58% of the spread money and 41% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 2 points toward the under (58.5 to 56.5), the side holding 63% of the total money and 73% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.