Virginia @ Missouri
Virginia
MissouriArchived game: the closing market as it stood at kickoff, kept permanently at this URL. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Virginia beat the Missouri 13-7 on the road. The market closed with Virginia at +155 on the moneyline and the total at 43.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 18 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
Market data captured (closing state as of ) · source: Action Network's closing consensus for this game · permanent record at this URL
More on this matchup: Virginia betting trends · Missouri betting trends · all College Football games
Virginia vs Missouri betting splits
Where was the money on Virginia vs Missouri?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Virginia | 44% | 41% | +4 (-105) |
| Missouri | 56% | 59% | -4 (-115) | |
| Total | Over | 47% | 46% | O 43.5 (-108) |
| Under | 53% | 54% | U 43.5 (-105) | |
| Moneyline | Virginia | 14% | 34% | +155 |
| Missouri | 86% | 66% | -185 |
56% of spread tickets and 59% of spread money were on the Missouri, so the average Missouri bet was larger than the average Virginia bet.
53% of total tickets and 54% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
86% of moneyline tickets and 66% of moneyline money were on the Missouri, so the Missouri drew more tickets than money and the average Virginia bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Virginia vs Missouri?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Missouri) | -7.5 | -4 | +3.5 |
| Total | 50.5 | 43.5 | -7 |
The Missouri opened -7.5 and closed -4, a 3.5-point move toward the Virginia.
The total opened 50.5 and closed 43.5, a 7-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Virginia vs Missouri line move?
The spread moved 3.5 points toward the Virginia (Missouri -7.5 to Missouri -4) even though 59% of the spread money sits on the Missouri; the Virginia hold 41% of the money and 44% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 7 points toward the under (50.5 to 43.5), the side holding 54% of the total money and 53% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.